Fellow colony partners I was assuming these LP rewards were going to be for the year not the month.
Running these numbers against current liquidity gives the following 1 month return (not compounded but annualized).
HNY-wxDAI 606HNY-507000xDAI 1/2 x 300/606 = 24.5%/month = 297%yr/yr
HNY-STAKE 296HNY-19495STAK 1/2 * 200/296 = 33.8%/month = 405%yr/yr
HNY-WETH 9.8HNY-21.4WETH 1/2 * 100/9.8 = 510%/month = 6122%yr/yr
Personally I have seen staking rewards at these return levels completely skew markets and if governance decides it wants to proceed with these kinds of returns I would expect capital to drive into this market. Pretty massively. Given the actual amount of HNY liquidity in these contracts I would expect a significant price spike which would likely contract if the rewards are pulled back or changed.
Put simply there just isnât enough HNY liquidity to satisfy what will be a huge demand generated by the above staking returns.
I really think a revist to the timeframe of distribution here be considered. Instead of a month I would go with taking 1/6th of the funding for the first month and observe what happens to the liquidity in these markets. Adjust the HNY LP reward payout so that it doesnât annualize to above 100% based on what are reasonable liquidity targets.
Given that governance requires some measure of HNY available for voting some thought as to how much HNY we want in liquidity contracts seems prudent as HNY for LP given the above returns is going to compete with HNY for governance.
I have been studying implications of Liquidity incentives of governance tokens for governance generally and there is a wide margin to having rewards in the 20-40%yr/yr range that seems healthy. But much north of 100% yr/yr (or 10%/month) returns and the competition between using tokens for governing vs. taking the 10%/month return becomes too high with potential impairment to ability for governance to actually carry out its functions. I donât know the guts of conviction voting yet to know the implications of this but generally it isnât positive.